Author: Nataraj Sindam

  • Democratizing Access to Private Equity

    For years, investing in high-growth startups was largely the domain of venture capitalists and institutional investors. But what about the employees who built these companies, or individuals eager to get in on the ground floor before a public offering? That’s the gap EquityZen, a pioneering platform for secondary private equity, has been bridging for over a decade.

    In a recent episode of the Startup Project podcast, Nataraj, the host, sat down with Aatish, CEO and founder of EquityZen, to delve into the fascinating world of secondary markets, the story behind EquityZen’s inception, and the future of private equity investing.

    From Personal Need to Market Innovation: The Genesis of EquityZen

    Aatish’s journey into the world of secondary markets began with a personal challenge. Having transitioned from a quant hedge fund to the startup world, he found himself holding equity in private companies. When he needed liquidity for a personal milestone – an engagement ring, as he humorously shares – he discovered a frustrating reality. The existing financial infrastructure catered to large institutional investors, leaving individuals with smaller stakes in private companies with virtually no options to sell their shares.

    This personal friction point sparked the idea for EquityZen. Aatish envisioned a platform that would democratize access to private markets, allowing employees, early investors, and even accredited individual investors to participate in the growth of late-stage private companies before they hit the public markets. EquityZen’s mission is clear: “to build private markets for the public.”

    The Evolution of Secondary Markets: From IPOs to Private Teenagers

    To understand the value proposition of EquityZen, it’s crucial to grasp the evolution of secondary markets. Aatish outlined three distinct phases. In the early days, companies went public much sooner, often within 3-5 years of inception. Think Amazon, which went public as a four-year-old company. This “Phase One” meant public investors absorbed the early risk and provided liquidity.

    “Phase Two” saw the rise of mega-private companies like Facebook, LinkedIn, and Groupon. These companies, despite reaching billion-dollar valuations, remained private for much longer. Large investment banks like Goldman Sachs stepped in, facilitating secondary transactions, but these were primarily for massive blocks of shares, catering to hedge funds and family offices, not the average shareholder.

    EquityZen ushered in “Phase Three,” revolutionizing the market by standardizing the process and leveraging technology to drastically lower the barriers to entry. By building infrastructure and amortizing costs across numerous transactions, EquityZen made it feasible to trade smaller blocks of shares, opening up the market to a broader audience of accredited investors. This standardization included streamlining paperwork and creating a user-friendly online platform, reminiscent of the rise of AngelList for early-stage investing.

    Standardization and Key Terms in Secondary Transactions

    Nataraj drew parallels between EquityZen and AngelList, highlighting the standardization both platforms brought to their respective domains. Aatish clarified the fundamental difference: AngelList primarily focuses on primary transactions – companies raising capital directly. EquityZen, on the other hand, deals with secondary transactions – shareholders selling existing shares. This distinction also translates to different risk profiles and return expectations. Early-stage investments are high-risk, high-reward, often following a power law distribution. Late-stage secondary investments are generally considered less risky, targeting more established businesses with potential for doubles or triples, rather than home runs.

    When evaluating secondary investments, Aatish highlighted key considerations:

    • Portfolio Allocation: Determine the appropriate allocation to private equity within your overall investment portfolio.
    • Sophistication Level: Decide between diversified multi-company offerings (like an ETF for private equity) or building a portfolio of individual companies based on sector expertise.
    • Deal Terms: Understand the type of stock (preferred or common), the discount or premium to the last funding round, and the company’s fundamentals.
    • Investor Due Diligence: Leverage the due diligence done by leading institutional investors like Sequoia or Andreessen Horowitz, who often participate in later-stage funding rounds.

    Single Company vs. Portfolio Offerings: Choosing Your Strategy

    EquityZen offers both single-company transactions and portfolio offerings. Aatish explained that single-company transactions currently constitute the larger part of their business, reflecting the early adopter phase of the market. He believes investors are increasingly looking to leverage their sector-specific knowledge to pick individual winners.

    However, he anticipates that structured products, like portfolio offerings, will become increasingly popular as the market matures and broadens its appeal to investors who may lack deep sector expertise but still desire exposure to private equity.

    Trust and Regulation: Cornerstones of the Secondary Market

    The conversation then turned to the critical aspect of trust and regulation in secondary markets. Aatish emphasized EquityZen’s unique three-sided marketplace approach, involving not just buyers and sellers, but also the issuing company. EquityZen prioritizes transparency and company consent, ensuring that transactions are conducted with the company’s knowledge and often their approval. This contrasts with some competitors who may facilitate transactions without proper share transfer or company authorization, potentially leading to legal and operational complexities.

    Aatish highlighted the importance of Right of First Refusal (ROFR), a standard clause in private company share agreements, allowing the company to preemptively purchase shares to control their cap table. EquityZen respects ROFR and works with companies to ensure compliance, even walking away from potential revenue to maintain trust and regulatory integrity.

    Data-Driven Insights, Education-Focused Marketing

    Nataraj inquired about how EquityZen utilizes the wealth of transaction data it accumulates. Aatish confirmed they leverage this data to inform issuers, investors, and shareholders, providing cap table insights and transaction ranges. However, EquityZen refrains from aggressively marketing individual company offerings or selling raw data, believing the market is still too nascent for simplistic data-driven investment decisions.

    Instead, EquityZen focuses on education-driven marketing, providing extensive resources and knowledge bases to empower investors to make informed decisions. They prioritize long-term trust over short-term gains, even incorporating “friction” into the investment process to encourage careful consideration.

    IPOs, Direct Listings, and the Future Outlook

    The discussion concluded with the topic of IPOs and the future of the market. Aatish differentiated between traditional IPOs, where lock-up periods restrict immediate selling, and direct listings, offering more immediate liquidity. Crucially, he pointed out that EquityZen’s SPV structure can provide investors with liquidity even before a company goes public, offering a significant advantage in a market where IPO windows can be unpredictable.

    Looking ahead to 2025 and beyond, Aatish is optimistic. He anticipates a resurgence of IPO and M&A activity, driven by pent-up pressure from VC funds and private equity sponsors seeking exits. He believes that increased deal flow will fuel secondary market activity, creating more benchmarks and opportunities for investors. With interest rates expected to ease, Aatish foresees a robust period for both primary and secondary private equity markets.

    Aatish concluded by emphasizing the long-term trust EquityZen has built within the ecosystem, a testament to their commitment to responsible market development. As the private markets continue to evolve, EquityZen is poised to remain a key player, democratizing access and empowering a broader range of investors to participate in the growth of innovative companies.


    Nataraj is a Senior Product Manager at Microsoft Azure and the Author at Startup Project, featuring insights about building the next generation of enterprise technology products & businesses.


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  • Aviel Ginsberg on the Seattle Startup Scene and Building Foundations for Future Success

    Seattle, a city teeming with tech talent, has the potential to be a thriving startup hub. But what’s holding it back?  Aviel Ginsberg, founder of Simply Measured (acquired by Sprout Social), managing director at Amazon’s Alexa Accelerator, general partner at Founders Co-op, and now co-founder of Foundations, believes the answer lies in fostering a stronger community and providing better support systems for founders.

    In a recent episode of the Startup Project podcast, Ginsberg sat down with Nataraj to discuss his multifaceted career, the evolution of the Seattle startup scene, and the mission of Foundations, a new initiative aiming to be the anchor of Seattle’s VC ecosystem.  

    Listen to the full episode below, or keep reading for highlights from the conversation, edited for context and clarity. Subscribe to Startup Project for more insightful discussions at thestartupproject.io.

    From Startup Weekend to Venture Capital

    Ginsberg’s journey into the Seattle tech world began unexpectedly. Arriving fresh out of college during the 2007 recession, he quickly immersed himself in the burgeoning startup scene. A Startup Weekend, where he boldly claimed leadership of the design department, connected him with key players in the community, landing him a job at Aperture, a Founders Co-op portfolio company.

    This experience provided invaluable insights into the inner workings of a startup, from coding and product design to customer interaction and product management. He eventually transitioned to founding his own company, Simply Measured, with backing from Founders Co-op.

    Founders Co-op: Investing in the Pacific Northwest

    Now a general partner at Founders Co-op, Ginsberg, alongside his partner Chris DeVore, focuses on pre-seed and seed stage investments in the Pacific Northwest. They target founders with a “Seattle DNA,” prioritizing those tackling unsexy business workflow problems over flashy consumer products.

    The Importance of Founder Motivation

    Ginsberg’s investment philosophy emphasizes founder motivation. He seeks individuals driven by an internal need to build and create, those who find fulfillment in the journey itself. This resilience, he believes, is crucial for navigating the inevitable ups and downs of startup life.

    The Distortion of Opportunity Size

    Ginsberg and Nataraj discuss the inflated expectations surrounding opportunity size during the recent boom. The pursuit of unicorns and decakorns, they argue, led to overvaluation and unsustainable business models.  Ginsberg highlights the importance of recognizing that not every company needs to be a trillion-dollar behemoth. Sometimes, a successful acquisition is the best outcome, even if it means the product eventually gets shut down.

    Foundations: A New Anchor for Seattle’s Startup Ecosystem

    Foundations, Ginsberg’s latest venture, seeks to strengthen Seattle’s startup scene by fostering a community and providing resources for founders.  Recognizing the need for connection and shared learning, Foundations provides a physical space, events, and an entrepreneur-in-residence program to connect founders with each other and with experienced mentors and investors. 

    What Seattle Needs to Thrive

    Beyond Foundations, Ginsberg sees the need for more pre-seed funds and programs that help individuals transition from big tech companies to startups. He also emphasizes the importance of cultivating a network of angel investors who can provide quick, small checks based on their belief in the founder’s potential.

    Consuming Wisdom: Aviel’s Recommendations

    Ginsberg shares his current media consumption, including podcasts like All In, Rogan, and Jordan Peterson, as well as his love for sci-fi shows. He also highly recommends the book “The Courage to Be Disliked.”

    Key Takeaway for Investors

    Ginsberg’s advice to aspiring investors: Recognize the long feedback loops in investing.  Focus on supporting founders and resist the urge to over-manage.  Find other outlets for your builder’s energy and let the founders build.

    To hear the full conversation and learn more about Aviel Ginsberg’s insights, check out the Startup Project podcast episode here. Subscribe on Spotify, Apple Podcasts, and YouTube.

  • Beyond Feature-Pushing: The Product Management Behind Relay.App’s AI Agent Vision

    In the ever-evolving landscape of AI and automation, building a product that truly resonates with users is a challenging yet rewarding odyssey. In a recent episode of the Startup Project podcast, Nataraj engaged in a fascinating conversation with Jacob Bank, the founder and CEO of Relay.App, shedding light on the intricate product development journey of an AI agent building platform. This blog post delves into the key product development insights gleaned from their discussion, offering valuable lessons for product managers, engineers, and entrepreneurs navigating the complex terrain of AI-first product creation.

    The Winding Road to Product Clarity:

    Relay.App’s journey is a testament to the power of iteration and the importance of listening to the market. As Bank candidly shared, the company’s early days were marked by a period of experimentation and exploration. Founded in 2021 with the vision of enhancing cross-tool coordination using AI, the team initially ventured down multiple paths, building eight or nine different product prototypes, each exploring different facets of the core concept. This period of “wandering in the desert” was crucial in honing their understanding of customer needs and refining their product vision.

    The initial thesis, predating the widespread adoption of LLMs, centered on using AI to bridge the gaps between disparate tools. However, the breakthrough came when Relay.app focused on capturing repeated tasks that combined automated components with human judgment. This shift led to the development of a workflow tool positioned between Zapier-style automation and Asana-style task management.

    The “Duct Tape” Dilemma and the Pivot to AI Agents:

    While the workflow product garnered some traction, the team recognized a crucial limitation: positioning themselves as an automation tool inadvertently limited their audience. The label “no-code workflow automation” often attracts a niche segment of tech-savvy users, while the broader opportunity lies in empowering every business to leverage AI for increased productivity.

    This realization spurred a strategic evolution, transitioning Relay.app from an AI-powered automation platform to an AI agent building platform. This shift wasn’t merely semantic; it represented a fundamental change in product philosophy. Instead of simply connecting tools, Relay.app aimed to provide a platform where users could create intelligent agents that proactively work on their behalf.

    Integrations: A Core Competency, Not an Afterthought:

    A recurring theme throughout the conversation was the critical importance of integrations. Bank emphasized that integrations are not a mere checkbox feature but a skilled labor requiring top-tier engineering talent. Building robust and reliable integrations with a wide array of tools is essential for AI agents to effectively perform their tasks.

    Relay.app currently boasts around 120 native integrations and is strategically working toward expanding this number to 300-500. The focus is on providing comprehensive coverage across essential business tool categories, including email, calendar, messaging, CRM, and marketing automation. Bank’s belief is that agents will only be as useful as their ability to interact with the existing tools in your workflow.

    Human-in-the-Loop: Building Trust and Control:

    As AI becomes increasingly integrated into our workflows, the role of human oversight remains paramount. Bank emphasized the necessity of a human-in-the-loop mechanism, allowing users to review and provide feedback on the agent’s planned actions before they are executed.

    This approach not only builds trust in the AI system but also allows for continuous learning and improvement. By incorporating user feedback, the agent can refine its behavior and better align with human intent. Furthermore, should an AI deviate, it is important to create workflows in which a user can course-correct or take-over in real-time. The balance of delegation and human-interaction are vital for establishing true AI augmentation.

    Product-Led Content and the Power of Community:

    Relay.app’s go-to-market strategy revolves around product-led content, showcasing the tangible benefits of AI agents through compelling use cases. Bank himself actively creates content, including LinkedIn posts and YouTube tutorials, demonstrating how users can build AI agents to solve specific problems.

    This approach not only drives product awareness but also fosters a thriving community of users who share their own creations and insights. By empowering users to create and share templates, Relay.app has created a virtuous cycle of product adoption and community engagement. This product-led content drives organic growth by educating and empowering users.

    The Future of Product Development: AI-Powered Teams:

    Bank envisions a future where product teams are leaner, more agile, and empowered by AI. Instead of relying on large teams with specialized roles, he believes that individuals will increasingly take on a “player-coach” role, combining strategic vision with practical execution.

    This shift is enabled by AI agents, which can automate mundane tasks and free up human employees to focus on higher-level thinking and problem-solving. The key lies in identifying the right tasks for AI automation and designing workflows that seamlessly integrate human expertise.

    Lessons Learned and the Path Forward:

    Jacob Bank’s product development journey with Relay.App offers valuable insights for anyone building AI-first products. The importance of iteration, customer feedback, robust integrations, human-in-the-loop design, and product-led content cannot be overstated.

    As the AI landscape continues to evolve, product teams must embrace a flexible and adaptable approach, constantly refining their products and strategies to meet the ever-changing needs of their users. By focusing on building trustworthy and valuable AI agents, they can unlock new levels of productivity and innovation.

    Ultimately, Relay.App’s experience underscores the importance of moving beyond hype and focusing on delivering tangible value. By embracing a user-centric approach and prioritizing robust integrations, human oversight, and product-led growth, product teams can successfully navigate the challenges of the AI revolution and build products that truly transform the way we work.


    Nataraj is a Senior Product Manager at Microsoft Azure and the Author at Startup Project, featuring insights about building the next generation of enterprise technology products & businesses.


    Listen to the latest insights from leaders building the next generation products on Spotify, Apple, Substack and YouTube.

  • How to Build a Thriving Venture Firm with a Billion Dollars in Assets | David Blumberg

    David Blumberg, a seasoned investor with decades of experience in early-stage tech companies, recently joined Nataraj on the Startup Project Podcast to discuss his investment journey, successes, misses, and current focus.

    Blumberg’s path to venture capital began unconventionally. Inspired by a desire to solve big problems, he initially pursued government and economics. However, three pivotal experiences steered him towards business: the thrill of entrepreneurship through a student-run distribution service, disillusionment with government bureaucracy, and a thesis on African-Israeli relations which highlighted the enduring power of economic interests over political rhetoric.

    Early Investments and the Rise of Startup Nation

    Blumberg’s investing career began at T. Rowe Price, where he analyzed companies poised for IPOs.  His first investment was in Scitex, a significant step as it marked T. Rowe Price’s first investment in a publicly traded Israeli company.  He challenged the prevailing view of Israel as a risky, socialist country, arguing that these factors were already reflected in stock valuations. This insight led to further investments in the burgeoning Israeli tech scene. 

    Blumberg highlighted the importance of government deregulation in fostering Israel’s tech boom, drawing parallels with India’s economic liberalization in the 1990s.  He recalled his involvement with Yozma, a government program designed to attract foreign venture capital to Israel. While acknowledging Yozma’s role in promoting collaboration between international and Israeli investors, he emphasized that the government’s primary contribution was simply “getting out of the way” of entrepreneurs.

    From Family Offices to Bloomberg Capital

    After T. Rowe Price, Blumberg worked at Claridge, a family office in Montreal, where he gained valuable experience navigating the different investment criteria of family offices.  He then founded Bloomberg Capital, initially operating as a “virtual venture catalyst” connecting family offices with promising deals.  This evolved into a successful venture capital fund, now on its sixth iteration, with over 65 companies in its portfolio.  The firm employs a two-pronged strategy: early-stage investments (pre-seed to Series A) and growth investments (late Series A to early Series B).

    The Enduring Power of Teams

    Blumberg stressed the paramount importance of talented teams, especially in pre-seed investments.  He recounted his early investment in Nutanix, where he recognized the exceptional technical abilities of the founding team, which eventually led to a highly successful IPO.  He underscored the importance of strong leadership, citing the example of Checkpoint Software, another successful investment with a founding team possessing diverse skills. He further emphasized the firm’s unique approach to supporting its investments through its CIO Innovation Council, providing valuable feedback and access to potential customers.

    Looking Ahead

    Bloomberg Capital’s current thesis revolves around data-intensive companies applying AI and machine learning to specific verticals.  Their portfolio includes companies like Vair-AI (AI for mining), Imogene (cancer detection), Joshua (insurance policy writing), and Telen (automated receipt inspection). 

    Beyond the fund, Blumberg’s personal investment strategy involves diversifying public stock holdings, real estate, and contrarian investments in oil and gas, driven by his belief in “energy humanitarianism.”  He cites Peter Thiel, Joe Lonsdale, Mark Andreessen, Ben Horowitz, and the team at Sequoia as investors he admires.

    He emphasizes the importance of continuous learning, adapting to changing technologies, and understanding the interplay of economics and policy.  His advice to young investors? “Always get your contracts in writing!”  This simple yet crucial step protects hard work and sets the stage for success.

    To hear the full conversation, tune into the Startup Project Podcast episode with David Blumberg.  Subscribe on Spotify, Apple Podcasts, and YouTube.

  • From Meeting Notes to Co-pilot Everywhere: A Product Manager’s Guide to Building Expansive AI Products

    The era of basic AI is over. Product Managers, it’s time to level up. We’ve seen the demos, played with the chatbots, and scratched the surface of what AI can do. But the real game-changer is building AI that proactively assists, optimizes, and anticipates user needs across every aspect of their work. Want to know how to build that kind of next-gen AI product? Listen closely to David Shim, CEO of Read.ai. In a recent Startup Project interview, Shim laid out the roadmap, not just for better meeting summaries, but for a future where AI is a true “co-pilot for everyone, everywhere.” This isn’t just a vision; it’s a $50 million Series B-backed reality. Product Managers, the future of productivity is being built now – are you ready to lead the charge?

    Read.ai, initially known for its AI meeting summarizer, harbors a much grander vision: to be a “co-pilot for everyone, everywhere.” This ambition, backed by a recent $50 million Series B raise, isn’t just about better meeting notes; it’s about fundamentally rethinking how AI can augment human productivity across all facets of work and life. For product managers eager to build truly impactful AI products, Shim’s journey and insights are invaluable.

    Start with the Problem, Not Just the Technology:

    Shim’s story of Read.ai’s inception is a powerful reminder for product managers. It didn’t begin with a fascination with large language models (LLMs) or the latest AI breakthroughs. It started with a personal pain point: the agonizing realization of being stuck in unproductive meetings. “Within two or three minutes of a call, you know if you should be there or not… but now I turned off my camera. I cannot leave this meeting,” Shim recounts.

    This relatable frustration became the seed for Read.ai. For product managers, this underscores a crucial principle: innovation begins with identifying a genuine problem. Don’t get swept away by the hype of new technologies. Instead, deeply understand user needs, frustrations, and inefficiencies. What are the “meetings” – metaphorical or literal – where your users are feeling stuck and unproductive?

    Unlocking Unconventional Data for Deeper Insights:

    Most AI products today heavily leverage text data. Read.ai, however, took a different path, recognizing the untapped potential of video and metadata. Shim’s “aha!” moment came from observing reflections in someone’s glasses during a virtual meeting, sparking the idea to analyze video for sentiment and engagement.

    This highlights a critical lesson for product managers: look beyond the obvious data sources. While text transcripts are valuable, they are just one layer of the story. Consider the rich data exhaust often overlooked – video cues, metadata like speaking speed, interruption patterns, response times to emails and messages. As Shim points out, “large language models don’t pick up” on the crucial reactions and non-verbal cues that humans instinctively understand.

    By incorporating this “reaction layer,” Read.ai’s summaries became materially different and more human-centric, highlighting what truly resonated with participants based on their engagement, not just the words spoken. For product managers, this means thinking creatively about data. What unconventional data sources can you leverage to build richer, more insightful AI experiences?

    Hybrid Intelligence: Marrying Traditional and Modern AI:

    Read.ai’s architecture is not solely reliant on LLMs. In fact, Shim reveals that “90% of our processing was our own proprietary models” last month. They strategically use LLMs for the “last mile” – for generating readable sentences and paragraphs – after their proprietary NLP and computer vision models have already done the heavy lifting of topic identification, sentiment analysis, and metadata extraction.

    This hybrid approach is a powerful strategy for product managers. It emphasizes the importance of building core intellectual property rather than solely relying on wrapping existing foundation models. While LLMs are powerful tools, defensibility often lies in unique data processing, specialized models for specific tasks, and innovative feature combinations.

    Product-Led Growth and Horizontal Market Vision:

    Read.ai’s explosive growth, adding “25,000 to 30,000 net new users every single day without spending a dollar on media,” is a testament to the power of product-led growth (PLG). This PLG engine is fueled by the inherently multiplayer nature of meetings. When one person uses Read.ai in a meeting, everyone present experiences its value, organically driving adoption.

    Furthermore, Read.ai consciously chose a horizontal market approach, resisting the pressure to niche down initially. Shim’s belief that “this is more mainstream… from an engineer at Google leads it to a teacher to an auto mechanic” proved prescient. Their user base spans diverse industries and geographies, highlighting the broad applicability of their co-pilot vision.

    For product managers, this demonstrates the power of designing for virality and considering broad market appeal, especially when building truly transformative products. Sometimes, focusing too narrowly early on can limit your potential impact.

    The Co-pilot Everywhere Vision and the Future of Optimization:

    Read.ai’s evolution from meeting notes to a “co-pilot everywhere” reflects a profound shift in AI’s role in productivity. It’s not just about generating content; it’s about optimization, action, and seamless integration into existing workflows. Shim envisions a future where Read.ai “pushes” insights to tools like Jira, Confluence, Notion, and Salesforce, and also “pulls” data from various sources to provide a unified, intelligent work assistant.

    This vision aligns with the emerging trend of AI agents. However, Shim emphasizes that the real power lies in practical integrations and seamless data flow between different work platforms, rather than just standalone agents. “You want your JIRA to talk with your Notion, to talk with your Microsoft, to talk with your Google, and talk with your Zoom,” he explains.

    For product managers, this means thinking beyond single-feature AI products. The next wave of innovation will be in building interconnected, optimized AI systems that proactively assist users across their entire workflow. It’s about moving from “draft AI” – generating content – to “optimization AI” – driving action and improving outcomes.

    Key Takeaways for Product Managers Building Next-Gen AI Products:

    • Focus on Real Problems: Start with genuine user pain points, not just technological possibilities.
    • Explore Unconventional Data: Look beyond text for richer, more nuanced insights.
    • Embrace Hybrid AI Architectures: Combine proprietary models with LLMs for defensibility and specialization.
    • Design for Product-Led Growth: Leverage inherent network effects and broad market appeal.
    • Vision Beyond Content Generation: Aim for optimization, action, and seamless integration into workflows.
    • Prioritize Value over Hype: Build solutions that deliver tangible ROI and improve user lives.
    • Iterate and Adapt: Constantly learn from user feedback and market dynamics to evolve your product.

    David Shim and Read.ai’s journey offer a compelling blueprint for product managers aiming to build the next generation of AI products. By focusing on genuine user needs, leveraging unconventional data, and envisioning a future of optimized, interconnected AI, product leaders can unlock the true potential of AI to transform the way we work and live.


    Nataraj is a Senior Product Manager at Microsoft Azure and the Author at Startup Project, featuring insights about building the next generation of enterprise technology products & businesses.


    Listen to the latest insights from leaders building the next generation products on Spotify, Apple, Substack and YouTube.

  • Product Lessons from the Front Lines of Small Business Empowerment

    In the rarefied air of Silicon Valley, product innovation often conjures images of disruptive technologies and billion-dollar valuations. Yet, the real engine of the global economy, and arguably a far more diverse and dynamic testing ground for product strategy, lies in the world of small and medium-sized businesses (SMBs). To truly understand the pulse of the market and the nuances of user needs, product managers should look beyond the echo chambers of tech giants and venture capital, and engage with the millions of entrepreneurs building their dreams, one customer at a time.

    Recently, we had the opportunity to listen to Elizabeth Gore, co-founder and president of Hello Alice, a fintech platform that has quietly become a vital lifeline for 1.5 million SMB owners across the United States. In a conversation on the Startup Project podcast, Gore shared invaluable insights into the challenges and triumphs of empowering this critical segment. Her experience offers a masterclass in product development grounded in empathy, data, and a deep understanding of underserved markets – lessons that resonate powerfully for product managers across all sectors.

    Addressing the Fundamental Need: Financial Health as the Core Product

    Hello Alice’s mission is clear: to democratize access to capital and resources for SMBs, especially those traditionally marginalized. Gore’s initial focus on micro-businesses in developing nations revealed a fundamental truth that holds true in the US as well: the ability to start and grow a business is a powerful lever for individual empowerment and economic mobility. However, upon returning to the US, she was struck by the persistent barriers SMBs face, particularly in accessing capital.

    This observation became the bedrock of Hello Alice’s product strategy. They didn’t start with flashy features or complex algorithms, but with a laser focus on the most pressing need: financial health. Their flagship product, the “Small Business Health Score,” exemplifies this. It’s a simple yet powerful tool that allows any business owner to assess their financial fitness and receive personalized guidance.

    For product managers, this underscores a crucial principle: start with the core user need. In a world obsessed with feature creep, Hello Alice demonstrates the power of a product deeply rooted in a fundamental problem. The health score isn’t just a diagnostic tool; it’s a gateway to a suite of services – grants, loans, and business planning resources – all designed to address the identified weaknesses and improve the score over time. This holistic approach, moving beyond a single feature to a comprehensive solution, is a hallmark of effective product thinking.

    Data-Driven Empathy: Personalization at Scale

    Hello Alice operates at a scale that rivals many consumer tech platforms, yet their approach remains remarkably personalized. Gore highlights their use of data – 60 data points per user – to tailor advice and resources. This isn’t just about generic segmentation; it’s about understanding the nuanced needs of a coffee shop in Oklahoma versus a t-shirt manufacturer in New Jersey.

    This level of personalization is achieved through a sophisticated enterprise SaaS product that powers their direct-to-SMB platform and is also sold to banks, large fund managers, and enterprise business services. This dual approach is a testament to smart product architecture and business model innovation. They’ve built a core engine that serves both their direct users and enterprise clients, creating a virtuous cycle of data and value.

    For product managers, the lesson is clear: data is not just about metrics; it’s about understanding your users deeply. Hello Alice demonstrates how data can be used to drive hyper-personalization, even at scale, fostering a sense of individual attention and relevance that is critical for user engagement and trust, especially in the sensitive domain of financial services.

    Community as a Product Feature: Fostering Connection and Resilience

    Beyond financial tools, Hello Alice recognizes the critical role of community in SMB success. They have intentionally cultivated a vibrant ecosystem, highlighted by their Black-owned Business Center and a strong presence of military-connected entrepreneurs. This isn’t just a marketing tactic; it’s a core product feature.

    Gore describes the community aspect as the “beating heart” of Hello Alice. This resonates deeply with the understanding that entrepreneurship can be isolating and challenging. By fostering connections and peer support, Hello Alice enhances the value proposition beyond transactional services. The community becomes a source of knowledge sharing, emotional support, and even business opportunities.

    Product managers should consider the power of community as an integral product feature. In an increasingly fragmented digital landscape, fostering meaningful connections within your user base can drive loyalty, engagement, and organic growth. Hello Alice’s success highlights how community can be a powerful differentiator, especially in markets where trust and peer-to-peer learning are highly valued.

    Adaptability and Resilience: Navigating Uncertainty

    The story of Hello Alice is also a testament to product resilience and adaptability. Their explosive growth during the COVID-19 pandemic, fueled by their rapid creation of the COVID-19 Business Center, demonstrates their ability to respond quickly to evolving user needs in times of crisis. They pivoted to provide critical resources for PPP and EIDL applications, business closures, and even mental health support.

    Furthermore, their recent lawsuit, while “frivolous” according to Gore, underscores the unpredictable challenges businesses face. Her candid advice to be “prepared for the unknown” and to “have money set aside” is a stark reminder that product strategy must encompass risk management and contingency planning.

    For product managers, this emphasizes the need for agile product development and a culture of adaptability. The market landscape is constantly shifting, and unexpected challenges are inevitable. Hello Alice’s ability to pivot during COVID-19 and navigate a legal challenge highlights the importance of building products and organizations that are resilient and responsive to change.

    Looking Ahead: AI and the Future of SMB Empowerment

    Gore expresses excitement about the potential of AI to further empower SMBs. Hello Alice is actively rolling out AI-powered tools to help business owners with tasks ranging from business plan creation to marketing strategy development. This proactive embrace of emerging technologies, coupled with their existing data-driven approach, positions them to continue innovating and expanding their impact.

    For product managers, this serves as a reminder to continuously explore and integrate relevant emerging technologies. AI, in particular, is rapidly becoming democratized and accessible to SMBs. Platforms like Hello Alice are playing a crucial role in bridging the technology gap and ensuring that the benefits of these advancements are not limited to large corporations.

    Conclusion: Lessons from Main Street for the Product Elite

    Elizabeth Gore and Hello Alice offer a compelling case study for product managers seeking to build impactful and sustainable businesses. Their success is rooted in a deep understanding of user needs, a data-driven approach to personalization, the strategic cultivation of community, and a culture of adaptability. By focusing on the fundamental challenge of financial health for SMBs, they have built a platform that is not only commercially successful but also deeply impactful in empowering entrepreneurs and driving economic growth.

    As product managers, we often look to the giants of tech for inspiration. But sometimes, the most valuable lessons are found by listening to the voices of those building the backbone of our economy – the small business owners on Main Street. Hello Alice reminds us that product innovation is not just about creating the next shiny object, but about solving real problems for real people, with empathy, data, and a steadfast commitment to making a tangible difference. And in that pursuit, the SMB market offers a wealth of opportunity and invaluable lessons for product leaders willing to look beyond the valley.


    Nataraj is a Senior Product Manager at Microsoft Azure and the Author at Startup Project, featuring insights about building the next generation of enterprise technology products & businesses.
    Listen to the latest insights from leaders building the next generation products on Spotify, Apple, Substack and YouTube.
  • How to Build a Product-Led Growth Engine for Technical Products and Drive Enterprise Adoption

    In a landscape saturated with software solutions and ever-evolving technological demands, effectively marketing a deeply technical product requires a nuanced approach that transcends traditional marketing playbooks. Madhukar Kumar, Chief Marketing Officer at Single Store (formerly MSQL), a cloud-native database powerhouse, recently shared his insights on navigating this complex terrain in a podcast interview. His conversation with Nataraj delved into the intricacies of product marketing, growth strategies, and the evolving role of marketing in a world increasingly shaped by AI.

    For Single Store, a company that has garnered over $300 million in funding and serves Fortune 100 clients, the challenge lies in bridging the gap between cutting-edge database technology and the developers and enterprise decision-makers who need it. Kumar’s strategy, built on three pillars – branding, product-led growth (PLG), and product-led sales (PLS) – offers a compelling framework for technical product marketing.

    Branding Beyond Buzzwords: The Technical Product Imperative

    Kumar emphasizes that branding for technical products, especially those aimed at developers, cannot be divorced from the product itself. While aesthetics and catchy slogans are important, they are secondary to demonstrating genuine value. Developers, he argues, are discerning and pragmatic. They prioritize functionality and technical merit above marketing fluff. Therefore, branding for a database company like Single Store must be product-centric and focus on being “memorable” in a noisy digital world.

    This memorability, Kumar suggests, can be achieved through a combination of crisp, direct messaging, a touch of developer-appropriate humor, and, crucially, a clear call to action that encourages product trial. For developers, the brand message must ultimately lead to a tangible experience: “Go try out my product,” not “Come talk to my sales team.” This reflects the bottom-up nature of developer adoption, where hands-on experience trumps marketing promises.

    Product-Led Growth: Reaching Developers in Their Natural Habitat

    The concept of product-led growth is central to reaching developers. Kumar points out the sheer volume of databases available today, highlighting the challenge of standing out. He emphasizes that Single Store, positioned uniquely between transactional and analytical databases, offers a powerful solution capable of both. However, awareness is the first hurdle.

    Traditional marketing methods often fall short when targeting developers. Kumar argues that you cannot simply “market to” or “sell to” developers. Instead, you must engage them where they naturally congregate – online communities, forums, and platforms like Twitter, YouTube, Stack Overflow (despite its current challenges), and Reddit. The strategy is to be present in these “watering holes” and offer solutions when developers are actively searching for answers to their problems.

    This approach hinges on a strong product that delivers real value. Kumar stresses the importance of unwavering faith in the product, highlighting his own personal use of Single Store for experimentation. The challenge, he acknowledges, is overcoming the developer preference for open-source databases like MySQL and Postgres. PLG, in this context, becomes about demonstrating superior performance and capabilities through accessible product trials and community engagement.

    Product-Led Sales: Navigating the Enterprise Landscape

    While PLG focuses on bottom-up adoption, product-led sales targets enterprise buyers through a top-down approach. Kumar underscores the power of customer validation in this realm. He believes that the most compelling value proposition comes directly from existing customers. Connecting prospects with satisfied Single Store users often eliminates the need for extensive marketing pitches.

    For enterprise buyers, brand awareness is still necessary, but it serves as a foundation for building trust and credibility. Kumar highlights the “people do what they see other people do” phenomenon. Similar to the neighborly influence on solar panel adoption, enterprise buyers are more likely to consider a product that is already being successfully used by their peers or within their developer teams.

    This necessitates a two-pronged approach: nurturing developer adoption within organizations and leveraging account-based marketing to target key decision-makers in enterprises that align with Single Store’s ideal customer profile. The ultimate goal is to create a seamless overlap between developer enthusiasm and enterprise demand, driven by product adoption and demonstrable value.

    A Career Forged in Curiosity and Adaptability

    Kumar’s own career path, marked by transitions from journalism to engineering, product development, and finally marketing, exemplifies the value of adaptability and a thirst for learning. He describes his journey as organic, driven by a desire to build and create. His willingness to embrace new opportunities, coupled with a diverse background, has equipped him with a unique perspective on marketing technical products.

    Marketing Skills for the AI-Powered Future

    The rise of AI is transforming every profession, including marketing. Kumar emphasizes that AI tools can significantly enhance productivity, but they cannot replace fundamental skills and experience. He argues that a deep understanding of the “how” behind the “what” is crucial for effectively leveraging AI in marketing.

    In today’s landscape, Kumar seeks marketers who are technically proficient, generalists capable of handling diverse tasks, and ideally, specialists in a particular area. This “unicorn” marketer combines broad understanding with deep expertise, allowing them to maximize the potential of AI while retaining strategic insight and nuanced judgment.

    Beyond Performance Marketing: Investing in Brand and Inbound

    Kumar challenges the conventional wisdom of heavy reliance on paid performance marketing. He argues for a shift towards building a strong brand that drives inbound interest. While acknowledging the immediate gratification of paid campaigns, he questions the quality and sustainability of leads generated through these channels. His preference lies in investing in brand-building activities that cultivate genuine inbound demand and higher-quality leads.

    Lessons from Marketing Leaders and the Path Forward

    Kumar admires brands like Apple, Webflow, and dbrand for their product-centric approach and cohesive user journeys. He emphasizes the importance of aligning marketing with the entire customer experience, from initial awareness to post-purchase support.

    He also notes the changing nature of communication, moving away from overly sanitized, PR-driven messages towards more authentic and direct interactions. While AI can assist in content creation, he cautions against losing the human touch and authenticity that resonate with audiences.

    Finally, reflecting on his career, Kumar highlights the importance of prioritizing passion and saying “no” to distractions. He encourages marketers to pursue work that resonates with them deeply, leading to greater satisfaction and impact. His insights offer a valuable roadmap for navigating the complexities of marketing technical products in an increasingly dynamic and AI-driven world.


    Nataraj is a Senior Product Manager at Microsoft Azure and the Author at Startup Project, featuring insights about building the next generation of enterprise technology products & businesses.


    Listen to the latest insights from leaders building the next generation products on Spotify, Apple, Substack and YouTube.

  • The DocuSign Playbook: Product Management Strategies for Enterprise Scale

    Building a successful enterprise cloud product is a marathon, not a sprint. It requires a unique blend of vision, strategy, and perseverance. In a recent conversation on the Startup Project podcast, Court Lorenzini, co-founder of DocuSign, shared his invaluable insights into navigating this complex landscape. His journey, from the initial spark of an idea to a $16 billion market leader, offers a treasure trove of wisdom for product managers looking to build the next generation of enterprise cloud solutions.

    The Genesis of an Idea and the Grind to Product-Market Fit:

    DocuSign wasn’t born overnight. It started with a simple yet powerful idea: enabling legally binding signatures via the internet. However, the path to product-market fit was a slow and deliberate grind. Lorenzini emphasized the importance of rigorously testing the market’s willingness to pay, even before building a prototype. This crucial step allows product managers to validate their assumptions and ensure they are solving a real problem for their target audience. He also shared a powerful tactic: actively trying to “kill” your own idea by seeking out founders of failed similar ventures. Understanding the reasons for their failures can help you identify and mitigate potential pitfalls early on.

    One of the key takeaways for enterprise product managers is the importance of patience. DocuSign didn’t IPO until 15 years after its founding. Building a successful enterprise product requires a long-term vision and a commitment to continuous improvement.

    Landing the Big Fish: The Importance of Early Adopters and Strategic Partnerships:

    Lorenzini highlighted the pivotal role of early adopters in DocuSign’s success. Landing Microsoft as a client was a game-changer, not through aggressive sales tactics, but through a serendipitous demonstration of DocuSign’s .NET integration. This win provided crucial validation and opened doors to other enterprise clients. Similarly, partnering with the National Association of Realtors gave DocuSign access to a massive user base and significantly expanded their reach.

    For enterprise product managers, this underscores the importance of identifying and targeting key influencers and strategic partners. These relationships can provide valuable access to target markets and accelerate adoption.

    Building a Moat: Data Integration as a Differentiator:

    While the core functionality of electronic signatures might seem relatively simple, Lorenzini revealed the secret weapon that propelled DocuSign to market dominance: data integration. He recognized early on that the true value lay not just in the signature itself, but in seamlessly connecting upstream document creation tools with downstream execution and implementation systems. By investing heavily in robust APIs, DocuSign built a powerful moat around its product, making it incredibly difficult for competitors to replicate their functionality and integrations.

    This highlights a critical lesson for enterprise product managers: think beyond features. Focus on building a comprehensive solution that integrates seamlessly into existing workflows and provides tangible value to the entire ecosystem.

    The Founder’s Mindset: Adaptability and a Passion for Building:

    Lorenzini’s entrepreneurial journey wasn’t confined to DocuSign. He’s a serial founder, driven by a deep passion for building and creating. He shared his experiences with both successes and failures, emphasizing the importance of adaptability and resilience in the face of challenges. His foray into renewable energy and the subsequent failure of his data acquisition company, Metabright, demonstrate the unpredictable nature of the startup world.

    Enterprise product managers can learn from this experience by embracing a growth mindset, remaining adaptable to changing market conditions, and constantly seeking opportunities for innovation.

    Key Takeaways for Enterprise Product Managers:

    • Validate Early and Often: Test your assumptions and ensure you’re solving a real problem.
    • Think Long-Term: Building a successful enterprise product takes time and patience.
    • Focus on Integration: Seamlessly connect with existing enterprise workflows.
    • Build Strategic Partnerships: Leverage key relationships to accelerate adoption.
    • Embrace Data as a Differentiator: Unlock the power of data integration to create a competitive advantage.
    • Cultivate a Founder’s Mindset: Be adaptable, resilient, and passionate about building.

    Lorenzini’s journey with DocuSign provides a compelling blueprint for building successful enterprise cloud products. By focusing on solving real problems, building strategic partnerships, and leveraging the power of data integration, product managers can create solutions that not only meet the needs of their target audience but also establish long-term market dominance.


    Nataraj is a Senior Product Manager at Microsoft Azure and the Author at Startup Project, featuring insights about building the next generation of enterprise technology products & businesses.


    Listen to the latest insights from leaders building the next generation products on Spotify, Apple, Substack and YouTube.

  • Modern Data Stack: Practical Strategies for Enterprise Product Management Leaders

    In the rapidly evolving landscape of cloud technology, it’s crucial for product management professionals to stay ahead of the curve, understanding not just the latest trends but also the foundational principles that shape the future of AI-driven products. In a recent episode of the podcast, Nataraj, host of the show, engaged in a fascinating conversation with Molham Aref, CEO of Relational AI, offering a treasure trove of insights for product leaders navigating the complexities of the modern data stack and enterprise AI.

    Molham, a seasoned veteran with over 30 years of experience in machine learning and AI, shared his journey from early computer vision projects at AT&T to leading Relational AI, a company revolutionizing how enterprises build intelligent applications. His career path, marked by stints at HNC Software (pioneers in neural networks), Brickstream (early computer vision in retail), PredictX, and Logicbox, provides a rich tapestry of lessons for product managers aiming to build impactful and scalable solutions.

    The Evolution of Enterprise AI and Product Management’s Role

    Molham’s journey underscores a critical evolution in enterprise AI. He began in an era where neural networks were nascent, focusing on specific problem domains like credit card fraud detection. “I started out working on computer vision problems at AT &T as a young engineer… and then I joined a company that was commercializing neural networks,” he recounted. This early phase highlighted the power of specialized AI models but also the challenges of broad applicability and integration within complex enterprise systems.

    For product managers, this historical context is vital. It reminds us that technological advancements are often iterative, building upon previous paradigms. Just as neural networks evolved, so too is the current wave of Gen AI. Understanding these historical cycles allows product teams to better anticipate future trends and avoid being swept away by hype cycles.

    A key product lesson Molham shared is the importance of speaking the customer’s language. Reflecting on his time at HNC, he noted, “When H &C started, they were just selling neural networks. And you go to a bank and say, buy my neural networks. And the bank goes, what’s a neural network and why would I buy it? And at some point, they realized, hey, that’s not really effective. Let’s go to a bank and tell them we’re solving a problem they have in their language.” This emphasizes a fundamental product principle: value proposition trumps feature fascination. Product managers must articulate how their AI solutions directly address business problems, focusing on tangible outcomes like cost reduction, revenue generation, or risk mitigation.

    Decoding the Modern Data Stack and Relational AI’s Solution

    Molham’s career narrative culminates in Relational AI, born from the frustration of building intelligent applications with fragmented technology stacks. “My whole career was spent working at companies focused on building one or two intelligent applications and in every situation it was a mess,” he confessed. He highlighted the pain of “gluing it all together” – the operational stack, BI stack, predictive, and prescriptive analytics – each with its own data management, programming model, and limitations.

    This pain point is highly relatable for product managers in the data-driven era. The “modern data stack,” as Molham explains, emerged as an “unbundling of data management.” While offering flexibility, it also introduces complexity. Relational AI addresses this head-on by offering a “co-processor” for data clouds like Snowflake, creating a “relational knowledge graph” that unifies graph analytics, rule-based reasoning, and predictive/prescriptive analytics.

    For product managers, Relational AI’s approach offers a valuable blueprint: focus on simplifying complexity. In a world of proliferating tools and technologies, solutions that streamline workflows and reduce integration headaches are immensely valuable. Molham’s platform choice – building on Snowflake – is also instructive. “For SQL, for data management, Snowflake is by far the leader,” he stated, emphasizing the importance of platform decisions in product strategy and go-to-market. Product managers must carefully consider platform ecosystems, choosing those that offer broad adoption and strong market traction.

    Gen AI in the Enterprise: Beyond the Hype and Towards Practical Application

    The conversation naturally shifted to Gen AI, the current buzzword in the AI space. Molham acknowledged its excitement but injected a dose of realism. “Gen.AI is super exciting. For the first time, we have models that can be trained in general, and then you have general applicability.” However, he cautioned against over-optimism in enterprise contexts. “In the enterprise, what people are finding out is having a model trained about the world doesn’t mean that it knows about your business.”

    This is a crucial insight for product managers exploring Gen AI applications. While Gen AI offers powerful capabilities, it’s not a silver bullet. Molham advocates for combining Gen AI with “more traditional AI technology, ontology, symbolic definitions of an enterprise, where you can talk about the core concepts of an enterprise.” This hybrid approach, leveraging knowledge graphs and structured data, is essential for building truly intelligent and context-aware enterprise applications.

    Product managers should heed this advice: Gen AI is a tool, not a strategy. Effective product strategies will involve thoughtfully integrating Gen AI with existing AI techniques and enterprise knowledge to deliver meaningful business value. Focus on use cases where Gen AI can augment, not replace, existing capabilities.

    B2B Sales and Founder Engagement: Lessons from the Trenches

    Molham shared invaluable insights on B2B sales, particularly for early-stage companies. He strongly believes in founder-led sales. “I really think it’s a mistake for the founders of the company not to take direct responsibility for sales,” he asserted. “You really have to go out there and do the really hard work of customer engagement and embarrassing yourself and doing all of those things to see what really works, what really resonates and where the pain is.”

    For product managers, especially in B2B tech, this underscores the importance of direct customer engagement. Product roadmaps should be informed by firsthand customer feedback, not just market research or analyst reports. Founder-led sales, as Molham suggests, provides invaluable raw data and customer intimacy that shapes product direction and market positioning.

    He also debunked the stereotype of the “slick talker” salesperson, emphasizing the value of “content rich folks who are also able to study and learn the problems of the prospect… teaching and tailoring.” This resonates deeply with product management – successful B2B sales, like successful product management, is about understanding and solving customer problems with expertise and tailored solutions.

    Mentorship, Hard Truths, and the Human Element

    Molham concluded with reflections on mentorship and the challenges of being a founder/CEO. He highlighted the immense value of mentors like Cam Lanier and Bob Muglia, emphasizing their integrity, long-term thinking, and win-win approach. He also candidly shared the difficulty of the founder journey. “It’s hard. It’s very difficult. This will probably be the last time I do this,” he joked, before quickly adding his passion for the mission and the quality of his team keeps him going.

    For product managers, these reflections are a reminder of the human element in building products and companies. Mentorship is crucial for navigating career challenges and gaining wisdom from experienced leaders. And the journey of product development, like entrepreneurship, is inherently challenging, requiring resilience, passion, and a strong team.

    Key Takeaways for Product Managers

    Molham Aref’s insights offer a powerful framework for product managers in the AI era:

    • Understand the historical context of AI: Technological evolution is iterative. Learn from the past to anticipate the future.

    • Focus on customer value proposition: Speak the customer’s language and solve real business problems.

    • Simplify complexity in the data stack: Prioritize solutions that streamline workflows and reduce integration burdens.

    • Gen AI is a tool, not a strategy: Integrate Gen AI thoughtfully with traditional AI and enterprise knowledge.

    • Engage directly with customers: Founder-led sales and direct customer feedback are invaluable for product direction.

    • Embrace mentorship and the human element: Learn from experienced leaders and build resilient, passionate teams.

    By internalizing these lessons, product management professionals can navigate the complexities of the modern data stack, harness the power of AI, and build truly impactful products for the enterprise of tomorrow.


    Nataraj is a Senior Product Manager at Microsoft Azure and the Author at Startup Project, featuring insights about building the next generation of enterprise technology products & businesses.


    Listen to the latest insights from leaders building the next generation products on Spotify, Apple, Substack and YouTube.

  • Navigating Hype Cycles for Sustainable AI Innovation

    The buzz around Artificial Intelligence, particularly Large Language Models (LLMs), is deafening. From boardrooms to break rooms, the promise of AI is touted as transformative, revolutionary, even existential. Yet, beneath the surface of breathless headlines and billion-dollar valuations, a more nuanced reality is emerging. To effectively leverage AI for business advantage, leaders must move beyond the hype and adopt a strategic, long-term perspective.

    Pedro Domingos, Professor Emeritus of Computer Science and Engineering at the University of Washington and author of The Master Algorithm, offers a critical yet constructive lens through which to view the current AI landscape. In a recent podcast interview, Domingos, a pioneer in machine learning, cautioned against the inflated expectations surrounding LLMs and urged a more balanced understanding of AI’s true potential – and limitations.

    1. Acknowledge Progress, Temper Expectations:

    It’s undeniable that AI has made “tremendous progress,” as Domingos acknowledges. Transformers, the architecture underpinning LLMs like GPT, represent a significant leap forward. These models demonstrate impressive abilities in language processing, generation, and even creative tasks. Dismissing them as mere “stochastic parrots,” as some critics do, is inaccurate. LLMs are learning systems exhibiting genuine generalization capabilities.

    However, the current hype cycle has outpaced the underlying reality. The narrative that we are on the cusp of Artificial General Intelligence (AGI) thanks to LLMs is, according to Domingos, “farsal.” He warns of a potential “stock market bubble” fueled by unrealistic expectations, echoing historical patterns of technological exuberance followed by inevitable corrections.

    For business leaders, this means celebrating genuine AI advancements while avoiding the trap of over-promising and under-delivering. Focus on practical applications and incremental improvements rather than chasing the mirage of near-term AGI. Remember, as Domingos points out, we’ve traveled “a thousand miles in AI,” but there are still “a million miles more to go.”

    2. Look Beyond the LLM Hype to Broader AI Capabilities:

    The intense focus on LLMs risks obscuring the broader landscape of AI and its diverse applications. Domingos emphasizes that LLMs, despite their current prominence, are “nothing compared to the major applications of AI today.” He points to recommendation systems as a prime example – the algorithms that curate our online experiences, from e-commerce suggestions to social media feeds. These systems, often built on different machine learning techniques, have already profoundly shaped consumer behavior and business strategies for years.

    Furthermore, the assumption that deep learning, and specifically Transformers, is the singular path forward is limiting. Domingos argues that “tweaks on Transformers will not get us to human-level intelligence.” He advocates for exploring diverse AI approaches beyond the current deep learning paradigm, emphasizing that true innovation may lie in uncharted territories.

    For businesses, this means diversifying AI investments beyond LLMs. Explore applications in areas like computer vision, robotics, optimization, and traditional machine learning techniques. Consider how AI can enhance existing processes and create new value streams across various functions, not just in language-centric tasks. The most impactful AI strategy is likely to be multifaceted and tailored to specific business needs, not solely reliant on the latest LLM breakthrough.

    3. Strategic Investment: Prioritizing Diverse Research and Foundational Capabilities:

    The influx of capital into AI is unprecedented, yet Domingos questions whether these investments are being directed optimally. He argues that there’s “too much funding of the same narrow kinds of things” and a concerning lack of diversity in AI research compared to previous decades. He advocates for a “thousand flowers bloom” approach, encouraging exploration across a wider spectrum of AI methodologies.

    Domingos also highlights the importance of investing in foundational AI research and hardware. He suggests that the next wave of AI innovation may require specialized hardware beyond GPUs, potentially focusing on “primitives for any possible next thing,” like sparse tensors or relational operations. This forward-looking perspective contrasts with the current industry fixation on optimizing existing deep learning infrastructure.

    For investors and business leaders allocating capital to AI, Domingos’ insights are crucial. Avoid the allure of chasing the latest hype cycle and instead consider a more diversified investment strategy. Support research into diverse AI approaches, explore hardware innovations that can unlock new capabilities, and prioritize long-term strategic goals over short-term gains driven by hype.

    Moving Forward with Realistic Optimism:

    Pedro Domingos’ perspective offers a valuable corrective to the current AI exuberance. It’s not a call for pessimism, but for realism and strategic foresight. AI holds immense potential to transform businesses and society, but realizing this potential requires navigating the hype cycles with a clear understanding of both the current capabilities and the long road ahead.

    By acknowledging genuine progress while tempering expectations, diversifying AI strategies beyond LLMs, and strategically investing in diverse research and foundational capabilities, businesses can position themselves to harness the true, long-term power of AI. The future of AI is not about chasing fleeting hype, but about building robust, sustainable value through informed and strategic innovation.